
Arsonists have hit two European ground stations that link Starlink's satellites to the internet: in Poland on September 23 and near Sofia, Bulgaria, on October 9–10. Ukraine's armed forces depend on Starlink. Poland says Russian intelligence ordered its attack and has had four people detained in Germany; Bulgaria has not named anyone. This page tracks what is confirmed, who is claiming what, and what evidence would settle it.
Arsonists have hit Starlink ground stations in Poland (September 23) and near Sofia (October 9–10). Polish prosecutors cite “reasonable suspicion” that Russian services ordered the Polish attack, ministers say they have “no doubt,” and four people have been detained in Germany. But no evidence of a Russian link has been published and no charges filed. Bulgaria has confirmed an arson investigation but named no suspect and no state.
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The rating measures how well the claim that Russia is behind these attacks is supported by evidence, not how plausible it seems. Any one of these would move it.
The most-shared claims, and what public sources can confirm.
Origin. Headlines on October 12–13 after Polish ministers named Russia.
What the evidence shows. Prosecutors cite “reasonable suspicion,” and ministers say they have “no doubt” (Al Jazeera). Police say they hold movement records, recordings, fingerprints and DNA on the suspects (Notes from Poland), but nothing tying them to a Russian service has been published, and no charges have been filed.
Bottom line. An official attribution, not yet a proven one.
Origin. Bulgarian outlets citing unnamed prosecution sources (Sega).
What the evidence shows. No named official has confirmed any arrest. Radev and the security agency have said only that the investigation is under way (Sofia Globe).
Bottom line. Unconfirmed.
Origin. Media reports that investigators are examining a possible link.
What the evidence shows. No Polish or Bulgarian official has said the cases are connected.
Bottom line. Possible, not established.
Origin. Social-media posts.
What the evidence shows. The Polish station kept operating after the fire (The Local). No outage has been reported from either site. The restrictions Ukraine's forces hit on October 13–14 were speed limits set on SpaceX's side, a separate story (our Starlink tracker).
Bottom line. No evidence of an outage from these attacks.